AP Statistics / Mr. Hansen
3/4/2003

Name: _________________________

Quiz on Chapter 10 and Recent Class Discussions

1.

A _________ _______________ is the set of all possible values that a statistic can have when samples of a fixed size are drawn from a fixed population. Although we could consider __________ distributions for many statistics (s, Q1, range, IQR, etc.), the two statistics of greatest interest to us in ___________ distributions are ____ (the sample mean) and _______ (the sample ________________ ).

 

 

2.

If a large dataset has a mean of 83 and a s.d. of 5, then the sample means, using samples of size 55, will have a _______ of 83 and a _______ of .674.

 

 

3.

If 35% of a large population are “yeses” and 65% are “no’s,” then the sample proportion of “yeses,” using samples of size 55, will have a mean of ___________ and a s.d. of _________ . The count of “yeses” in samples of size 55 will have a mean of ___________ and a s.d. of _________ .

 

 

4.

In an SRS of 1350 American voters, 713 give President Bush a “positive” job approval rating. Compute a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of American voters who feel this way. No work is required, but state your answer as a complete sentence using the “approved wording” that we discussed in class.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5.

We measure the heights of 1000 randomly selected American women. A 90% confidence interval for the mean height of American women is 65 ± .13 inches. Which of the following are true? (Write the word “YES” in front of each true statement.)

 

 

___

The probability is .9 that the true mean height of American women lies in the interval between 64.87 and 65.13 inches.

___

The probability is .9 that the true mean height of American women lies in the interval from 64.87 through 65.13 inches, inclusive.

___

If we performed the randomization and measurement procedures again, there is a probability of .9 that the true mean height of American women would fall in the interval from 64.87 to 65.13. The issue of “inclusive” or “non-inclusive” is irrelevant since the r.v. is continuous.

___

If we performed the randomization and measurement procedures again and computed a new confidence interval, there is a probability of .9 that the true mean height of American women would fall in the new interval. The issue of “inclusive” or “non-inclusive” is irrelevant since the r.v. is continuous.

___

We are 90% confident that the true mean height of American women is 65 ± .13 inches.

___

Approximately 90% of American women have heights between 64.87 and 65.13 inches.

 

 

6.

In problem #5, compute the m.o.e. for a 99% confidence level. (Hint: s = 2.5 inches.) This time, show your work.

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.

Mel, who has many tall female friends, believes based on his anecdotal experience that the estimate of 65 inches given in problem 5 is too low. State Mel’s null and alternative hypotheses for the true mean height of American women:

(a)

H0: ______________________________

(b)

Ha: ______________________________

(c)

Mel will gather his own large random sample of women and will measure their heights. He will reject H0 if the p value of his test is below .05. Explain in plain English what a Type I error by Mel would be.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(d)

State the probability that Mel makes a Type I error (no work needed).

(e)

Explain in plain English what a Type II error by Mel would be.




(f)

Explain in plain English why it is not possible to compute P(Type II error) unless Mel tells you a specific alternative sampling distribution that he has in mind.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(g)

Two specific alternatives Mel is considering are m = 66 and m = 67 inches. Against which of these alternatives does Mel’s procedure have greater power? Explain briefly.