Start time: _______ End time: _______

Name: ___________________________

 

Or, record elapsed time in minutes: __________

 

 

 

Part V: LSRL Significance Test (32 points)

13.

In 1995, a sample of top male biathletes showed the following data for treadmill time to reach maximum heart rate versus time needed to ski 20 km. All times are in minutes.

 

 

 

 

 

Treadmill

Ski

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.7

71.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

8.4

71.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

8.7

65.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.0

68.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.6

64.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.6

69.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.0

63.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.2

64.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.4

66.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

11.0

62.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

11.7

61.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

Here is some computer output related to the data set, with two values blacked out:

 

 

 

The regression equation is
ski = 88.8 − 2.33tread

 

Predictor

Coef

Stdev

t-ratio

p

 

 

Constant

88.796

●●●●●●

15.44

0.000

 

 

tread

−2.3335

●●●●●●

−3.95

0.003

 

 

s = 2.188       R-sq = 63.4%       R-sq(adj) = 59.3%

 

Analysis of Variance

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source

DF

SS

MS

F

p

 

Regression

1

74.630

74.630

15.58

0.003

 

Error

9

43.097

4.789

 

 

 

Total

10

117.727

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

State the value of the slope: _____________

(b)

Interpret your answer to part (a) in the context of this problem.

 

 

 

________________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

________________________________________________________________________

 

 

(c)

Compute a 90% confidence interval for the true value (population value) of the slope. Do not check assumptions here, since you will be doing that in part (d) anyway. Show work. If you need one of the blacked-out values, you can obtain it for a point if you raise your hand.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

(d)

Is there evidence that the true population slope is negative? Use  = 0.01 for this problem. Show all steps below, and write “OVER” if you need more room. This is a long problem.

BONUS

(1 point) Explain briefly why, in part (d), the true population slope is negative if and only if the true population r-value (what we call ) is also negative.

 

________________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

________________________________________________________________________